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Economic Consequence Analysis of Disasters
ISBN-13:
9789811025679
Veröffentl:
2017
Seiten:
137
Autor:
Adam Rose
Serie:
Integrated Disaster Risk Management
eBook Typ:
PDF
eBook Format:
EPUB
Kopierschutz:
1 - PDF Watermark
Sprache:
Englisch
Beschreibung:
The essence of the methodology involves running numerous simulations in a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model for each threat, yielding synthetic data for the estimation of a single regression equation based on the identification of key explanatory variables (threat characteristics and background conditions). This transforms the results of a complex model, which is beyond the reach of most users, into a "reduced form" model that is readily comprehensible. Functionality has been built into E-CAT so that its users can switch various consequence categories on and off in order to create customized profiles of economic consequences of numerous risk events. E-CAT incorporates uncertainty on both the input and output side in the course of the analysis.
Introduction.- Enumeration of Categories of Economic Consequences.- Threat Scenarios and Direct Impacts.- Computable General Equilibrium Modeling and Its Application.- User Interface Variable.- Estimation of the Reduced Form Coefficients for the E-CAT User Interface.- Uncertainty Analysis.- Validation of Computable General Equilibrium Based Models.- E-CAT User Interface Tool.
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