Bayesian Methods in the Search for MH370

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ISBN-13:
9789811003783
Veröffentl:
2016
Einband:
Paperback
Erscheinungsdatum:
25.07.2016
Seiten:
132
Autor:
Neil Gordon
Gewicht:
213 g
Format:
235x155x8 mm
Serie:
SpringerBriefs in Signal Processing
Sprache:
Englisch
Beschreibung:

This book demonstrates how nonlinear/non-Gaussian Bayesian time series estimation methods were used to produce a probability distribution of potential MH370 flight paths. It provides details of how the probabilistic models of aircraft flight dynamics, satellite communication system measurements, environmental effects and radar data were constructed and calibrated. The probability distribution was used to define the search zone in the southern Indian Ocean.The book describes particle-filter based numerical calculation of the aircraft flight-path probability distribution and validates the method using data from several of the involved aircraft¿s previous flights. Finally it is shown how the Reunion Island flaperon debris find affects the search probability distribution.
Presents a unique insight into the Bayesian calculation of the search zone for MH370
Introduction.- Factual Description of Accident and Available Information.- Bayesian Approach.- Inmarsat Satellite Communication System.- Aircraft Cruise Dynamics.- Aircraft Maneuver Dynamics.- Particle Filter Implementations.- Validation Experiments.- Application to MH370 Accident.- Incorporating Search Data.- Conclusions.

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