Climate Change Scenarios for Hyderabad
Integrating uncertainties and consolidation
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ISBN-13:
9783867418188
Veröffentl:
2012
Einband:
Paperback
Erscheinungsdatum:
18.09.2012
Seiten:
44
Autor:
Mathias K. B. Lüdecke
Gewicht:
112 g
Format:
250x176x4 mm
Serie:
1/2010, Emerging megacities
Sprache:
Englisch
Beschreibung:
The paper evaluates the global climate projections of 17 AOGCMs with the aim to project 4 climatic variables under two di¿erent global emission scenarios (SRES B1 and A2) for the area of Hyderabad (India) for the 21st century. The evaluated model runs were produced within the IPCC AR4 - process. We applied a statistical downscaling to be able to evaluate that large number of model runs. Aggregation of results was done on the basis of model and variable speci¿c weights re¿ecting the accuracy of reproduction of the current climate. Projection certainty was assessed by the degree of model consensus.
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