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Solving the Dynamic Complexity Dilemma

Predictive and Prescriptive Business Management: Answering the Need for a New Paradigm
Sofort lieferbar | Lieferzeit: Sofort lieferbar I
ISBN-13:
9783642543104
Veröffentl:
2014
Seiten:
281
Autor:
Nabil Abu El Ata
eBook Typ:
PDF
eBook Format:
EPUB
Kopierschutz:
1 - PDF Watermark
Sprache:
Englisch
Beschreibung:

Dynamic complexity results from hidden, un­known factors-or more precisely, interactions between factors-that can unexpectedly im­pact the perfor­mance of systems. When the influences of dynamic complexity are not meas­ured and understood, new never-seen-before behaviors can come as unwelcomed surprises, which disrupt the performance of systems. Left alone, processes that were once prized for their effi­ciency unexpectedly begin to degrade-costs increase, while volumes and quality decline. Evidence of problems may come too late for effective resolution as technology advance­ments induce rapid change and compress the time available to react to that change. The results of dynamic complexity are always negative and unmanaged dynamic complexity can bring business or global systems to the point of sudden chaos. The 2009 H1N1 pandemic, 2008 Credit Crunch and 2011 Fukushima Daiichi nuclear disaster are global examples of the dangers of undiagnosed dynamic complexity.
Introducing and understanding the challenge.- Probability of uncertainty; Complexity Dynamics and how they can drag down the efficiency of a business.- Mathematics and Modeling.- Introduction to patterns, dynamic patterns and compound patterns.- Perturbation theory helps us.- Emulative deconstruction theory.- The components and characteristics of the solution.- Introduction to the WATCHWEB.- Proposed methodology for the WATCHWEB.- Conclusion.

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