Beschreibung:
Dynamic complexity results from hidden, unknown factors-or more precisely, interactions between factors-that can unexpectedly impact the performance of systems. When the influences of dynamic complexity are not measured and understood, new never-seen-before behaviors can come as unwelcomed surprises, which disrupt the performance of systems. Left alone, processes that were once prized for their efficiency unexpectedly begin to degrade-costs increase, while volumes and quality decline. Evidence of problems may come too late for effective resolution as technology advancements induce rapid change and compress the time available to react to that change. The results of dynamic complexity are always negative and unmanaged dynamic complexity can bring business or global systems to the point of sudden chaos. The 2009 H1N1 pandemic, 2008 Credit Crunch and 2011 Fukushima Daiichi nuclear disaster are global examples of the dangers of undiagnosed dynamic complexity.
Introducing and understanding the challenge.- Probability of uncertainty; Complexity Dynamics and how they can drag down the efficiency of a business.- Mathematics and Modeling.- Introduction to patterns, dynamic patterns and compound patterns.- Perturbation theory helps us.- Emulative deconstruction theory.- The components and characteristics of the solution.- Introduction to the WATCHWEB.- Proposed methodology for the WATCHWEB.- Conclusion.