This book provides a detailed overview of the concepts, techniques, applications, and methodological approaches involved in land use and cover change (LUCC) modeling, also known simply as land change modeling. More than 40 international experts in this field have participated in this book, which illustrates recent advances in LUCC modeling with examples from North and South America, the Middle East, and Europe. Given the broad range of geomatic approaches available, it helps readers select the approach that best meets their needs. The book is structured into five parts preceded by a foreword written by Roger White and a general introduction. Part I consists of four chapters, each of which focuses on a specific stage in the modeling process: calibration, simulation, validation, and scenarios. It presents and explains the fundamental ideas and concepts underlying LUCC modeling. This is complemented by a comparative analysis of the selected software packages, practically applied in various case studies in Part II and Part III. Part II discusses recently proposed methodological developments that have enhanced modeling procedures and results while Part III offers case studies as well as interesting, innovative methodological proposals. Part IV revises different fundamental techniques used in LUCC modeling and finally Part V describes the best-known software packages used in the applications presented in Parts II and III.

Provides an up-to-date overview of land use and cover change (LUCC) approaches, drivers, modeling, validation, and scenario methodsIncludes contributions by well-known international researchers from a large variety of disciplines Combines theory and a wide range of applications (case studies)

1 Geomatic Approaches for Modeling Land Change Scenarios.An Introduction M.T. Camacho Olmedo, M. Paegelow, J.F. Mas and F. EscobarPart I Concepts and Tools2 LUCC Modeling Approaches to Calibration J.F. Mas, M. Paegelow and M.T. Camacho Olmedo3 The Simulation Stage in LUCC Modeling M.T. Camacho Olmedo, J.F. Mas and M. Paegelow4 Techniques for the Validation of LUCC Modeling Outputs M. Paegelow, M.T. Camacho Olmedo and J.F. Mas5 LUCC Scenarios F. Escobar, H. van Delden and R. HewittPart II Methodological Developments and Case Studies:Methodological Developments6 Obtaining and Comparing Factors in Land Change ModelsUsing One or Two Time Points Based Calibration M.T. Camacho Olmedo7 Impact and Integration of Multiple Training Dates for MarkovBased Land Change Modeling M. Paegelow8 Land Use Change Modeling with SLEUTH: ImprovingCalibration with a Genetic Algorithm K.C. Clarke9 The Importance of Scale in Land Use Models: Experimentsin Data Conversion, Data Resampling, Resolution andNeighborhood Extent J. Díaz-Pacheco, H. van Delden and R. Hewitt10 The In¿uence of Scale in LULC Modeling. A ComparisonBetween Two Different LULC Maps (SIOSE and CORINE) D. García-Álvarez11 Who Knows Best? The Role of Stakeholder Knowledgein Land Use Models¿An Example from Doñana, SW Spain R.J. Hewitt, V. Hernández Jiménez, L. Román Bermejoand F. Escobar12 Land Use and Cover Change Modeling as an IntegrationFramework: A Mixed Methods Approach for the Southern Coastof Jalisco (Western Mexico) M. Kolb, P.R.W. Gerritsen, G. Garduño, E. Lazos Chavero, S. Quijas,P. Balvanera, N. Álvarez and J. SolísPart III Methodological Developments and Case Studies:Case Studies13 Urban Land Use Change Analysis and Modeling:A Case Study of the Gaza Strip B. Abuelaish14 Constraint Cellular Automata for Urban DevelopmentSimulation: An Application to the Strasbourg-KehlCross-Border Area J.P. Antoni, V. Judge, G. Vuidel and O. Klein15 Modeling Land-Use Scenarios in Protected Areas of an UrbanRegion in Spain M. Gallardo and J. Martínez-Vega16 Navigating the Future: Land Redevelopment Scenariosand Broader Impact Assessment in Southern California J.H. Kim, J.R. Hipp and V. Basolo17 Modeling the Future Evolution of Chilean Forests to GuideCurrent Practices. Native Forest and Industrial TimberPlantations in Southern Chile N. Maestripieri, M. Paegelow and G. Selleron18 Urban Transportation Scenarios in a LUCC Model: A CaseStudy in Bogota, Colombia D. Páez and F. Escobar19 Integrating Econometric and Spatially Explicit Dynamic Modelsto Simulate Land Use Transitions in the Cerrado Biome T. Carvalho Lima, S. Carvalho Ribeiro and B. Soares-FilhoPart IV Technical Notes20 Cellular AutomatonJ.F. Mas and H. Rodrigues21 Cellular Automata in CA_MARKOV M.T. Camacho Olmedo and J.F. Mas22 Fuzzy Coincidence J.F. Mas23 LUCC Based Validation Indices: Figure of Merit, Producer¿sAccuracy and User¿s AccuracyM. Paegelow24 LUCC Budget M. Paegelow25 Markov Chain M.T. Camacho Olmedo and J.F. Mas26 Multi Criteria Evaluation (MCE)M. Paegelow27 Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) H. Taud and J.F. Mas28 Multi-objective Land Allocation (MOLA) M.T. Camacho Olmedo29 The NASZ Model F. Escobar30 Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) Analysis J.F. Mas31 Weights of Evidence J.F. MasPart V Short Presentations About the Modeling Software Packages32 A Short Presentation of the Actor, Policy, and Land UseSimulator (APoLUS) R.J. Hewitt33 A Short Presentation of CA_MARKOV J.R. Eastman and J. Toledano34 A Short Presentation of CLUMondo J. van Vliet and P.H. Verburg35 A Short Presentation of Dinamica EGO H. Rodrigues and B. Soares-Filho36 A Short Presentation of the Land Change Modeler (LCM) J.R. Eastman and J. Toledano37 A Short Presentation of LucSimJ.P. Antoni38 A Short Presentation of Metronamica H. van Delden and R. Vanhout39 A Short Presentation of SLEUTH K.C. Clarke