Art of Intelligence

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Since the 9/11 attacks, the number of intelligence courses and related curricula have soared. Many instructors look for interactive learning tools because they add immeasurable value to the student's understanding of the intelligence enterprise. Such tools, however, take time and effort to develop and are not circulated among faculty. This is the first textbook to offer in one volume original simulations, exercises, and games designed by academics and intelligence professionals from several countries. These innovative methods are meant to enhance the learning experience and provide an international perspective to the topics and approaches discussed in class. Intelligence simulations and games are presented in ready-to run formats, from easy instructions to result recordings matrices, to minimize preparation time for both instructors and students. Exercises, such as cyber attack simulation, information sharing, ethical scenarios and more, expose the student to the many subtle aspects of the intelligence enterprise through active role-playing in simulations and game exercises. The cases cover a wide range of key analytical issues and contexts with an international focus for an innovative text that will suit intelligence training courses at all levels.
IntroductionWilliam J. Lahneman and Rubén Arcos Part 1. 1-2 Class Session Simulations1. Estimating Iraqi Weapons of Mass DestructionWilliam J. Lahneman and Hugo A. Keesing2. Competing Hypotheses in Contemporary Intelligence AnalysisJulian Richards3. Facing Intelligence Analysts with ethical ScenariosFernando Velasco and Rubén Arcos 4. Spies and Lies: The Perils of Collection (A Simulation)Kristan J. Wheaton and James Breckenridge5. Learning Intelligence Analysis: The Development of Cognitive StrategiesDan Mazare and Gabriel Sebe6. Kim's Game: Developing Powers of Observation and MemoryWilliam J. LahnemanPart 2. 1-2 Week Simulations7. Cyber Attack on the Office of Intelligence Production: A Collaborative SimulationRandolph H. Pherson and Vaughn F. Bishop8. Market and Competitor Analysis: Real ExerciseLuis Madureira9. "Need to Share" Intelligence and Crisis Management in Fighting Terrorism and Organized Crime: the Need for Integrated Training SolutionsGheorghe-Teodoru Stefan and Cristian Barna10. A 3-D Intelligence Analysis on Migration as a Security Threat: From Data to IntelligenceIrena Dumitru and Ella Ciuperca11. TEST Simulation Model: Team Working and Experiential Scenario-based TrainingChris Jagger and Julian RichardsPart 3. Multi-week Simulations12. Understanding Baynesian Thinking: Prior and Posterior Probabilities and Analysis of CompetingHypotheses in intelligence AnalysisSir David Omand, GCB 13. Assessment BASE: Simulating National Intelligence Assessment in a Graduate CoursePhilip H.J. Davies14. Social Intelligence Survey: Mapping the Webs of embedded Intelligence FunctionsWilhelm Agrell and Tobbe Peterson15. Multimedia Intelligence Products: Experiencing the Intelligence Production Process and Adding Layers of Information to Intelligence ReportsRubén Arcos, Manuel Gértrudix & José Ignacio Prieto

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