Uncertainty in the Electric Power Industry

Methods and Models for Decision Support
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Introduction.- Deregulation and Markets in the Electricity Industry.- Decision Making and Uncertainties in the Electricity Industry.- Modelling Electricity Prices.- Modeling Competition in the Electricity Industry.- Optimizing Generation and Trading Portfolios.- Risk Management and Risk Controlling.- Technology Assessment.- Investment Decisions.- Final Remarks.- References.- Index.
Around the world, liberalization and privatization in the electricity industry have lead to increased competition among utilities. At the same time, utilities are now exposed more than ever to risk and uncertainties, which they cannot pass on to their customers through price increases as in a regulated environment. Especially electricity-generating companies have to face volatile wholesale prices, fuel price uncertainty, limited long-term hedging possibilities and huge, to a large extent, sunk investments.
In this context, Uncertainty in the Electric Power Industry: Methods and Models for Decision Support aims at an integrative view on the decision problems that power companies have to tackle. It systematically examines the uncertainties power companies are facing and develops models to describe them - including an innovative approach combining fundamental and finance models for price modeling. The optimization of generation and trading portfolios under uncertainty is discussed with particular focus on CHP and is linked to risk management. Here the concept of integral earnings at risk is developed to provide a theoretically sound combination of value at risk and profit at risk approaches, adapted to real market structures and market liquidity. Also methods for supporting long-term investment decisions are presented: technology assessment based on experience curves and operation simulation for fuel cells and a real options approach with endogenous electricity prices.

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Autor: Christoph Weber
ISBN-13 :: 9781441920003
ISBN: 1441920005
Erscheinungsjahr: 15.10.2014
Verlag: Springer New York
Gewicht: 491g
Seiten: 324
Sprache: Englisch
Auflage 2005
Sonstiges: Taschenbuch, 235x155x17 mm
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