Without the use of higher mathematics, this classic demonstrates the application of probability to games of chance, physics, reliability of witnesses, astronomy, insurance, democratic government, and many other areas.

PART I. A PHILOSOPHICAL ESSAY ON PROBABILITIES CHAPTER I. Introduction CHAPTER II. Concerning Probability CHAPTER III. General Principles of the Calculus of Probabilities CHAPTER IV. Concerning Hope CHAPTER V. Analytical Methods of the Calculus of ProbabilitiesPART II APPLICATION OF THE CALCULUS OF PROBABILITIES CHAPTER VI. Games of Chance CHAPTER VII. Concerning the Unknown Inequalities which may Exist among Chances Supposed to be Equal CHAPTER VIII. Concerning the Laws of Probability which result from the Indefinite Multiplication of Events CHAPTER IX. Application of the Calculus of Probabilities to Natural Philsophy CHAPTER X. Application of the Calculus of Probabilities to the Moral Sciences CHAPTER XI. Concerning the Probability of Testimonies CHAPTER XII. Concerning the Selections and Decisions of Assemblies CHAPTER XIII. Concerning the Probability of the Judgments of Tribunals "CHAPTER XIV. Concerning Tables of Mortality, and the Mean Durations of Life, Marriage, and Some Associations" CHAPTER XV. Concerning the Benefits of Institutions which Depend upon the Probability of Events CHAPTER XVI. Concerning Illusions in the Estimation of Probabilities CHAPTER XVII. Concerning the Various Means of Approaching Certainty CHAPTER XVIII. Historical Notice of the Calculus of Probabilities to 1816