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Modeling and Simulation for Analyzing Global Events

 E-Book
Sofort lieferbar | Lieferzeit: Sofort lieferbar I
ISBN-13:
9780470486986
Veröffentl:
2009
Einband:
E-Book
Seiten:
224
Autor:
John A. Sokolowski
eBook Typ:
PDF
eBook Format:
Reflowable
Kopierschutz:
2 - DRM Adobe
Sprache:
Englisch
Beschreibung:

one-of-a-kind introduction to the theory and application ofmodeling and simulation techniques in the realm of internationalstudiesModeling and Simulation for Analyzing Global Eventsprovides an orientation to the theory and application of modelingand simulation techniques in social science disciplines. This bookguides readers in developing quantitative and numericrepresentations of real-world events based on qualitative analysis.With an emphasis on gathering and mapping empirical data, theauthors detail the steps needed for accurately analyzing globalevents and outline the selection and construction of the best modelfor understanding the event¿s data.Providing a theoretical foundation while also illustratingmodern examples, the book contains three parts:* Advancing Global Studies--introduces the what,when, and why of modeling and simulation and also explores itsbrief history, various uses, and some of the advantages anddisadvantages of modeling and simulation in problem solving. Inaddition, the differences in qualitative and quantitative researchmethods, mapping data, and conducting model validation are alsodiscussed.* Modeling Paradigms--examines various methods ofmodeling including system dynamics, agent-based modeling, socialnetwork modeling, and game theory. This section also explores thetheory and construction of these modeling paradigms, thefundamentals for their application, and various contexts for theiruse.* Modeling Global Events--applies the modelingparadigms to four real-world events that are representative ofseveral fundamental areas of social science studies: internalcommotion within an anarchic state, a multi-layered study of theSolidarity movement in Poland, uni-lateral military intervention,and the issue of compellence and deterrence during a nationalsecurity crisis.Modeling and Simulation for Analyzing Global Events is anexcellent book for statistics, engineering, computer science,economics, and social sciences courses on modeling and simulationat the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels. It is also aninsightful reference for professionals who would like to developmodeling and simulation skills for analyzing and communicatinghuman behavior observed in real-world events and complex globalcase studies.
Preface.I PRINCIPLES OF MODELING AND SIMULATION: ADVANCING GLOBALSTUDIES.1 Modeling and Simulation: What, When, and Why.Introduction.An Overview of Modeling and Simulation.A Brief History of Modeling and Simulation.Why Use Modeling and Simulation.Conclusions.Key Terms.References.Further Reading.2 Research Methodologies for Modeling Global Events.Introduction.Global Events and the Social Sciences.Qualitative and Quantitative Research.Modeling and Simulation of Global Events.Mapping Data: A Suggested Methodology.Model Validation.Conclusions.Key Terms.References.II MODELING PARADIGMS.3 System Dynamics.Introduction.Dynamic System Behavior.Building Blocks of System Dynamics Models.Conclusions.Key Terms.References.4 Agent-Based Modeling and Social Networks.Introduction.Agent-Based Models: Description and Definition.Social Networks.Building an Agent-Based Model.Conclusions.Key Terms.References.5 Game Theory.Introduction.Fundamentals of Game Theory.Types of Games.Conclusions.Key Terms.References.III MODELING GLOBAL EVENTS.6 Case Study: Colombia--A Country Study onInsurgency.Introduction.Developing the Research Question and Methodology.Background: Qualitative Research.Mapping Qualitative to Quantitative.System Dynamics.Responding to the Research Question.Key Terms.References.Case Study Bibliography.7 Case Study: The Polish Solidarity Movement--Laying theFoundation for the Collapse of Soviet Communism.Introduction.Developing the Research Question and Methodology.Background: Qualitative Research.Measuring Agents and Environments: Stimuli and Actions.Modeling Human Behavior with Agents.Responding to the Research Question.Conclusions.Key Terms.References.Case Study Bibliography.8 Case Study: Vietnam--Johnson's War,1963-1965.Introduction.Developing the Research Question and Methodology.Background: Qualitative Research.Analyzing the Social Network Structures.Social Network Aspects of Human Behavior Modeling.Agent-Based Model Development.Responding to the Research Question.Key Terms.References.Case Study Bibliography.9 Case Study: Cuban Missile Crisis--A National SecurityEmergency.Introduction.Developing the Research Question and Methodology.Background: Qualitative Research.Evaluating Behaviors.Game Theory.Responding to the Research Question.Key Terms.References.Case Study Bibliography.Index.

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