Beschreibung:
Forces shaping human history are complex, but the course of history is undeniably changed on many occasions by conscious acts. These may be premeditated or responsive, calmly calculated or performed under great pressure. How can we distinguish probable unrealized alternatives from improbable ones?
1. Could History Have Been Otherwise? 2. Could the Germans Have Won the Battle of Jutland? 3. Could the Germans Have Won the Battle of Britain? 4. Could the United States Have Prevailed in Vietnam? 5. The Road to Able Archer: Counterfactual Reasoning and the Dangerous History of Nuclear Deterrence 1945-1983 6. Conclusions