Beschreibung:
The third edition of this classic text maintains its focus on applications of demographic models, while extending its scope to matrix models for stage-classified populations. The authors first introduce the life table to describe age-specific mortality, and then use it to develop theory for stable populations and the rate of population increase. This theory is then revisited in the context of matrix models, for stage-classified as well as age-classified populations. Reproductive value and the stable equivalent population are introduced in both contexts, and Markov chain methods are presented to describe the movement of individuals through the life cycle. Applications of mathematical demography to population projection and forecasting, kinship, microdemography, heterogeneity, and multi-state models are considered.
This third edtion contains new chapters on Matrix Population Models.
Introduction: Population Without Age.- The Life Table.- The Matrix Model Framework.- Mortality Comparisons; The Male-Female Ratio.- Fixed Regime of Mortality and Fertility: The Uses of Stable Theory.- Birth and Population Increase from the Life Table.- Birth and Population Increase from Matrix Population Models.- Reproductive Value from the Life Table.- Reproductive Value from Matrix Models.- Understanding Population Characteristics.- Markov Chains for Individual Life Histories.- Projection and Forecasting.- Perturbation Analysis of Matrix Models.- Some Types of Instability.- The Demographic Theory of Kinship.- Microdemography.- The Multi-State Model.- Family Demography.- Heterogeneity and Selection in Population Analysis.- Epilogue: How Do We Know the Facts of Demography?.